Tuesday, 28 October 2008

Double Trouble

You think we're in a lot of trouble now with the DJIA and other US indices moving wildly and widely, wait till you see this.

One of the lesser noticed index, the S&P 500 (SP500 in bigcharts.com) should be a better gauge of how things are doing as this is an index that is represented by 500 issues, hence the name. Because of what is seen here, it's scary to think that this bear market is just the tip of the iceberg.

It is quite clear in the chart that the S&P500 is right in the midst of a consolidation. Whether this is a double top, or a possible triple top, we still don't know. What we do know is that this seems to be a topping pattern that will reverse the previous uptrend. When this will be, we still don't know.

What we do know is that the support of the index is currently pegged around 770. Should this break, we could see the index drop to a target of 383. That's the scary part here. Things are already battered as it is. It appears there's more where that came from.

Notice also how the MACD has been oscillating throughout the whole duration of the chart. It's been consolidating around the zero line, telling us that as early as 1996, the index has been consolidating all this time.

One more thing to note is that the volume has picked up since the downtrend started October 2007.

Things will get more brutal in the coming months. Try to enjoy your Christmas and try not to think about this yet. It seems to be inevitable anyway.

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